Differansen mellom tremåneders pengemarkedsrente i Norge1) og hos handelspartnerne2) og importveid valutakursindeks (I44)3). 1. kv. 2010 - 4. kv. 2019 4) |
||||||||
1) Styringsrente i referansebanen med påslag i det norske
pengemarkedet. Beregningene er basert på at prognosen for styringsrenten prises inn i pengemarkedet. 2) Terminrenter for handelspartnerne per 9. desember 2016. Aggregatet for handelspartnernes renter er beskrevet i Norges Bank Memo 2/2015. 3) Stigende kurve betyr sterkere kronekurs. 4) Anslag for 4. kv. 2016 - 4. kv. 2019 (stiplet). Kilder: Thomson Reuters og Norges Bank |
||||||||
Threemonth
money market rate differential between Norway1) and trading partners2) and importweighted exchange rate index (I44)3). 2010 Q1 - 2019 Q44) |
||||||||
1) Key policy rate in the baseline scenario plus premiums in the
Norwegian money market. The calculations are based on the assumption that the key policy rate forecast is priced into the money market. 2) Forward rates for trading partners at 9 December 2016. The aggregate for trading partner interest rates is described in Norges Bank Memo 2/2015. 3) A positive slope denotes a stronger krone exchange rate. 4) Projections for 2016 Q4 - 2019 Q4 (broken lines). Sources: Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank |
||||||||
Innhold | Index | Anslag/Forecast | ||||||
Tre mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 3/16 | I44 PPR 3/16 | I44 PPR 4/16 | Tre mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 4/16 | |||||
Threemonth rate differential MPR 3/16 | I44 MPR 3/16 | I44 MPR 4/16 | Threemonth rate differential MPR 4/16 | |||||
31.03.2010 | 1,63 | 89,25 | 89,25 | 1,63 | ||||
30.06.2010 | 1,81 | 89,90 | 89,90 | 1,81 | ||||
30.09.2010 | 1,79 | 90,78 | 90,78 | 1,79 | ||||
31.12.2010 | 1,53 | 91,10 | 91,10 | 1,53 | ||||
31.03.2011 | 1,45 | 89,12 | 89,12 | 1,45 | ||||
30.06.2011 | 1,38 | 87,84 | 87,84 | 1,38 | ||||
30.09.2011 | 1,56 | 87,42 | 87,42 | 1,56 | ||||
31.12.2011 | 1,61 | 87,92 | 87,92 | 1,61 | ||||
31.03.2012 | 1,36 | 87,65 | 87,65 | 1,36 | ||||
30.06.2012 | 1,32 | 87,58 | 87,58 | 1,32 | ||||
30.09.2012 | 1,34 | 87,24 | 87,24 | 1,34 | ||||
31.12.2012 | 1,32 | 85,76 | 85,76 | 1,32 | ||||
31.03.2013 | 1,35 | 85,57 | 85,57 | 1,35 | ||||
30.06.2013 | 1,27 | 87,52 | 87,52 | 1,27 | ||||
30.09.2013 | 1,22 | 90,05 | 90,05 | 1,22 | ||||
31.12.2013 | 1,18 | 92,61 | 92,61 | 1,18 | ||||
31.03.2014 | 1,19 | 93,10 | 93,10 | 1,19 | ||||
30.06.2014 | 1,31 | 91,45 | 91,45 | 1,31 | ||||
30.09.2014 | 1,35 | 93,09 | 93,09 | 1,35 | ||||
31.12.2014 | 1,34 | 97,04 | 97,04 | 1,34 | ||||
31.03.2015 | 1,17 | 100,99 | 100,99 | 1,17 | ||||
30.06.2015 | 1,30 | 100,19 | 100,19 | 1,30 | ||||
30.09.2015 | 1,08 | 105,06 | 105,06 | 1,08 | ||||
31.12.2015 | 1,02 | 107,42 | 107,42 | 1,02 | ||||
31.03.2016 | 1,00 | 108,12 | 108,12 | 1,00 | ||||
30.06.2016 | 0,94 | 105,86 | 105,86 | 0,94 | ||||
30.09.2016 | 1,02 | 105,50 | 105,17 | 1,04 | ||||
31.12.2016 | 0,95 | 104,05 | 102,00 | 1,05 | ||||
31.03.2017 | 0,86 | 103,99 | 101,47 | 0,98 | ||||
30.06.2017 | 0,74 | 103,86 | 101,87 | 0,84 | ||||
30.09.2017 | 0,74 | 103,60 | 102,22 | 0,73 | ||||
31.12.2017 | 0,73 | 103,44 | 102,44 | 0,64 | ||||
31.03.2018 | 0,73 | 103,21 | 102,62 | 0,55 | ||||
30.06.2018 | 0,75 | 103,05 | 102,65 | 0,52 | ||||
30.09.2018 | 0,78 | 102,90 | 102,59 | 0,51 | ||||
31.12.2018 | 0,80 | 102,66 | 102,34 | 0,52 | ||||
31.03.2019 | 0,85 | 102,50 | 102,10 | 0,57 | ||||
30.06.2019 | 0,93 | 102,32 | 101,90 | 0,64 | ||||
30.09.2019 | 1,01 | 102,14 | 101,70 | 0,74 | ||||
31.12.2019 | 102,00 | 101,46 |