Differansen mellom tremåneders pengemarkedsrente i
Norge¹ og hos handelspartnerne² og importveid valutakursindeks (I-44)³. 1. kv. 2008 - 4. kv. 2019 ^{4)} |
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1) Styringsrente i referansebanen med påslag i det norske
pengemarkedet. Beregningene er basert på at varslede renteendringer prises inn i pengemarkedet 2) Terminrenter for handelspartnerne per 17. juni 2016 3) Stigende kurve betyr sterkere kronekurs 4) Anslag for 2. kv. 2016 - 4. kv. 2019 (stiplet) Kilder: Thomson Reuters og Norges Bank |
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Three-month
money market rate differential between Norway¹ and trading partners² and import-weighted exchange rate index (I-44)³. 2008 Q1 - 2019 Q4^{4)} |
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1) Key policy rate in the baseline scenario plus premiums in the
Norwegian money market. The calculations are based on the assumption that announced interest rate changes are priced into the money market. 2) Forward rates for trading partners at 17 June 2016. 3) A positive slope denotes a stronger krone exchange rate. 4) Projections for 2016 Q2 - 2019 Q4 (broken lines). Sources: Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank |
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Innhold | Index | Anslag/Forecast | ||||||
3 mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 1/16 | I-44 PPR 1/16 | I-44 PPR 2/16 | 3 mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 2/16 | |||||
Three-month rate differential MPR 1/16 | I-44 MPR 1/16 | I-44 MPR 2/16 | Three-month rate differential MPR 2/16 | |||||
31.03.2008 | 1,64 | 88,42 | 88,42 | 1,64 | ||||
30.06.2008 | 1,90 | 87,25 | 87,25 | 1,90 | ||||
30.09.2008 | 1,97 | 89,11 | 89,11 | 1,97 | ||||
31.12.2008 | 1,97 | 98,40 | 98,40 | 1,97 | ||||
31.03.2009 | 1,63 | 96,14 | 96,14 | 1,63 | ||||
30.06.2009 | 1,26 | 95,10 | 95,10 | 1,26 | ||||
30.09.2009 | 1,09 | 94,08 | 94,08 | 1,09 | ||||
31.12.2009 | 1,38 | 89,99 | 89,99 | 1,38 | ||||
31.03.2010 | 1,63 | 89,25 | 89,25 | 1,63 | ||||
30.06.2010 | 1,81 | 89,90 | 89,90 | 1,81 | ||||
30.09.2010 | 1,79 | 90,78 | 90,78 | 1,79 | ||||
31.12.2010 | 1,53 | 91,10 | 91,10 | 1,53 | ||||
31.03.2011 | 1,45 | 89,12 | 89,12 | 1,45 | ||||
30.06.2011 | 1,38 | 87,84 | 87,84 | 1,38 | ||||
30.09.2011 | 1,56 | 87,42 | 87,42 | 1,56 | ||||
31.12.2011 | 1,61 | 87,92 | 87,92 | 1,61 | ||||
31.03.2012 | 1,36 | 87,65 | 87,65 | 1,36 | ||||
30.06.2012 | 1,32 | 87,58 | 87,58 | 1,32 | ||||
30.09.2012 | 1,35 | 87,22 | 87,22 | 1,35 | ||||
31.12.2012 | 1,32 | 85,76 | 85,76 | 1,32 | ||||
31.03.2013 | 1,35 | 85,57 | 85,57 | 1,35 | ||||
30.06.2013 | 1,30 | 87,52 | 87,52 | 1,30 | ||||
30.09.2013 | 1,22 | 90,05 | 90,05 | 1,22 | ||||
31.12.2013 | 1,18 | 92,61 | 92,61 | 1,18 | ||||
31.03.2014 | 1,20 | 93,10 | 93,10 | 1,20 | ||||
30.06.2014 | 1,31 | 91,45 | 91,45 | 1,31 | ||||
30.09.2014 | 1,35 | 93,09 | 93,09 | 1,35 | ||||
31.12.2014 | 1,33 | 97,04 | 97,04 | 1,33 | ||||
31.03.2015 | 1,17 | 100,99 | 100,99 | 1,17 | ||||
30.06.2015 | 1,29 | 100,22 | 100,22 | 1,29 | ||||
30.09.2015 | 1,08 | 105,06 | 105,06 | 1,08 | ||||
31.12.2015 | 0,99 | 107,42 | 107,42 | 0,99 | ||||
31.03.2016 | 1,00 | 108,50 | 108,10 | 1,00 | ||||
30.06.2016 | 0,81 | 108,42 | 106,00 | 0,94 | ||||
30.09.2016 | 0,65 | 108,38 | 106,12 | 0,72 | ||||
31.12.2016 | 0,52 | 108,37 | 106,16 | 0,60 | ||||
31.03.2017 | 0,46 | 108,29 | 106,06 | 0,60 | ||||
30.06.2017 | 0,39 | 108,13 | 105,83 | 0,56 | ||||
30.09.2017 | 0,32 | 107,88 | 105,52 | 0,51 | ||||
31.12.2017 | 0,28 | 107,56 | 105,22 | 0,51 | ||||
31.03.2018 | 0,24 | 107,10 | 104,83 | 0,50 | ||||
30.06.2018 | 0,22 | 106,55 | 104,44 | 0,49 | ||||
30.09.2018 | 0,20 | 105,93 | 104,00 | 0,49 | ||||
31.12.2018 | 0,20 | 105,51 | 103,63 | 0,50 | ||||
31.03.2019 | 0,19 | 105,03 | 103,39 | 0,53 | ||||
30.06.2019 | 0,22 | 104,56 | 103,19 | 0,59 | ||||
30.09.2019 | 0,27 | 104,11 | 103,04 | 0,66 | ||||
31.12.2019 | 103,57 | 102,91 |