Norges Bank

Staff Memo

The Norwegian Taylor rule

Author:
Ingvild Hagen Lindalen and Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli
Series:
Staff Memo
Number:
5/2025

Abstract

This paper estimates various Taylor rules for Norway based on the observed money market rate (Nibor). We begin by examining standard Taylor rules from the literature, applying them to Norwegian data to assess their fit. Next, we estimate a benchmark Taylor rule that is included in Norges Bank’s monetary policy report and compare it with alternative specifications and explore the potential for nonlinearities. Finally, we analyze how the Taylor rule framework has evolved over time and its out-of-sample fit.

Staff Memos present reports and documentation written by staff members and affiliates of Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway. Views and conclusions expressed in Staff Memos should not be taken to represent the views of Norges Bank.

ISSN 1504-2596 (online)

Published 7 April 2025 15:20
Published 7 April 2025 15:20