Differansen mellom tremåneders pengemarkedsrente i Norge1) og hos handelspartnerne2) og importveid valutakursindeks (I44)3). 1. kv. 2010 - 4. kv. 2020 4) |
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1) Styringsrente med påslag i det norske pengemarkedet.
Beregningene er basert på at prognosen for styringsrenten prises inn i pengemarkedet. 2) Terminrenter for handelspartnerne per 16. juni 2017 og 10. mars 2017. Aggregatet for handelspartnernes renter er beskrevet i Norges Bank Memo 2/2015. 3) Stigende kurve betyr sterkere kronekurs. 4) Anslag for 2. kv. 2017 - 4. kv. 2020 (stiplet). Kilder: Thomson Reuters og Norges Bank |
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Threemonth
money market rate differential between Norway1) and trading partners2) and importweighted exchange rate index (I44)3). 2010 Q1 - 2020 Q44) |
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1) Key policy rate plus Norwegian money market premium. The
calculations are based on the assumption that the key policy rate forecast is priced into the money market. 2) Forward rates for trading partners at 16 June 2017 and 10 March 2017. The aggregate for trading partner interest rates is described in Norges Bank Memo 2/2015. 3) A positive slope denotes a stronger krone exchange rate. 4) Projections for 2017 Q2 - 2020 Q4 (broken lines). Sources: Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank |
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Innhold | Index | Anslag/Forecast | ||||||
Tre mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 1/17 | I44 PPR 1/17 | I44 PPR 2/17 | Tre mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 2/17 | |||||
Threemonth rate differential MPR 1/17 | I44 MPR 1/17 | I44 MPR 2/17 | Threemonth rate differential MPR 2/17 | |||||
31.03.2010 | 89,25 | 1,63 | ||||||
30.06.2010 | 89,90 | 1,81 | ||||||
30.09.2010 | 90,78 | 1,79 | ||||||
31.12.2010 | 91,10 | 1,53 | ||||||
31.03.2011 | 89,12 | 1,45 | ||||||
30.06.2011 | 87,84 | 1,38 | ||||||
30.09.2011 | 87,42 | 1,56 | ||||||
31.12.2011 | 87,92 | 1,61 | ||||||
31.03.2012 | 87,65 | 1,36 | ||||||
30.06.2012 | 87,58 | 1,32 | ||||||
30.09.2012 | 87,24 | 1,34 | ||||||
31.12.2012 | 85,76 | 1,32 | ||||||
31.03.2013 | 85,57 | 1,35 | ||||||
30.06.2013 | 87,52 | 1,27 | ||||||
30.09.2013 | 90,05 | 1,22 | ||||||
31.12.2013 | 92,61 | 1,18 | ||||||
31.03.2014 | 93,10 | 1,19 | ||||||
30.06.2014 | 91,45 | 1,31 | ||||||
30.09.2014 | 93,09 | 1,35 | ||||||
31.12.2014 | 97,04 | 1,34 | ||||||
31.03.2015 | 100,99 | 1,17 | ||||||
30.06.2015 | 100,19 | 1,30 | ||||||
30.09.2015 | 105,06 | 1,08 | ||||||
31.12.2015 | 107,42 | 1,02 | ||||||
31.03.2016 | 108,12 | 1,00 | ||||||
30.06.2016 | 105,86 | 0,94 | ||||||
30.09.2016 | 105,17 | 1,04 | ||||||
31.12.2016 | 1,06 | 102,30 | 102,30 | 1,06 | ||||
31.03.2017 | 0,93 | 102,50 | 102,60 | 0,93 | ||||
30.06.2017 | 0,85 | 103,14 | 106,00 | 0,81 | ||||
30.09.2017 | 0,67 | 102,87 | 105,47 | 0,76 | ||||
31.12.2017 | 0,54 | 102,93 | 104,59 | 0,72 | ||||
31.03.2018 | 0,42 | 103,24 | 104,20 | 0,68 | ||||
30.06.2018 | 0,34 | 102,09 | 103,90 | 0,64 | ||||
30.09.2018 | 0,27 | 101,75 | 103,60 | 0,60 | ||||
31.12.2018 | 0,21 | 101,64 | 103,20 | 0,56 | ||||
31.03.2019 | 0,19 | 101,74 | 102,70 | 0,54 | ||||
30.06.2019 | 0,21 | 101,31 | 102,33 | 0,53 | ||||
30.09.2019 | 0,25 | 101,42 | 102,05 | 0,56 | ||||
31.12.2019 | 0,32 | 101,28 | 101,88 | 0,63 | ||||
31.03.2020 | 0,41 | 100,58 | 101,80 | 0,68 | ||||
30.06.2020 | 0,50 | 101,24 | 101,70 | 0,77 | ||||
30.09.2020 | 0,62 | 101,15 | 101,54 | 0,88 | ||||
31.12.2020 | 0,69 | 101,35 | 101,35 | 0,94 |