Norges Bank

Staff Memo

The Norwegian Taylor rule

Author:
Ingvild Hagen Lindalen and Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli
Series:
Staff Memo
Number:
5/2025

Abstract

This paper estimates various Taylor rules for Norway based on the observed money market rate (Nibor). We begin by examining standard Taylor rules from the literature, applying them to Norwegian data to assess their fit. Next, we estimate a benchmark Taylor rule that is included in Norges Bank’s monetary policy report and compare it with alternative specifications and explore the potential for nonlinearities. Finally, we analyze how the Taylor rule framework has evolved over time and its out-of-sample fit.

Staff Memo inneholder utredninger og dokumentasjon skrevet av Norges Banks ansatte og andre forfattere tilknyttet Norges Bank. Synspunkter og konklusjoner i arbeidene er ikke nødvendigvis representative for Norges Bank.

ISSN 1504-2596 (online)

Published 7 April 2025 15:20
Published 7 April 2025 15:20