Norges Bank

Working Paper

The Saving and Employment Effects of Higher Job Loss Risk

Author:
Ragnar E. Juelsrud and Ella Getz Wold
Series:
Working Paper
Number:
17/2019

In this paper we use Norwegian tax data and a novel natural experiment to isolate the impact of job loss risk on saving behavior. We find that a one percentage point increase in job loss risk increases liquid savings by roughly 1.2 - 2.0 percent. Further, we show that employment falls in non-tradable industries not directly affected by the shock, also after controlling for intersectoral linkages and lower demand from affected industries, consistent with the household demand channel of recessions.

Working Papers inneholder forskningsarbeider og utredninger som vanligvis ikke har fått sin endelige form. Også andre faglige analyser fra økonomer i Norges Bank utgis i serien. Synspunkter og konklusjoner i arbeidene står for forfatternes regning.

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ISSN 1502-8190 (online)

Published 3 October 2019 16:02
Published 3 October 2019 16:02